Northern Rock and Whaling
Now the recriminations begin. Northern Rock and every other deposit-taking institution it appears, has had its deposits guaranteed by the Government. Remember this occasion, as you have had a politician standing up, saying something and actually delivering it in four days. Private sector pensioners whose occupational schemes collapsed have had slightly different treatment and are up in arms about it.
While the deposits side of things is now underwritten, the liability falls on the taxpayer and as another writer put it, taxpayers’ money is effectively supporting Northern Rock’s share price – quite an achievement for a Labour government. This does not seem to be doing much good as the price seems generally downwards. If you want to check for yourself, please go to the second paragraph in my second NRock blog http://www.georgeemsden.co.uk/?p=100 Figures for the value of NRock’s business have been quoted at: 340p, 290p, 200p plus in a recent offer by LloydsTSB (with conditions) and practically zero. The latter would probably apply if: a hedge fund gets its teeth into the carcass (ends up as whale oil), if it goes in adminstration (ends up as whale steaks) or is supported by a “Lifeboat” similar to the one offered in the seventies during the secondary banking crisis (ends up on life support). It is the fifth largest UK mortgage lender and still profitable apparently.
The movements in the share price are basically a feeding frenzy which could be taken from a wildlife film showing the bloody business of whaling where sharks are biting chunks off a wounded beast. The still-breathing carcass of NRock lies harpooned and joined by a stout line to the Good Ship UK. The man at the end of the harpoon is the Chancellor of the Exchequer who has the happy job of reeling it in and trying to do some useful with it. The man who originally aimed the harpoon at the unfortunate whale is my dear friend Gordon who has been promoted to Captain.
The root of the shambles goes back to 1997 when our then-Chancellor transferred the business of regulating the 500 or so banks that operate in the UK from the UK’s Central Bank, once affectionately known as the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street and otherwise called the Bank of England, to another regulator. The logic seemed to be that 3 brains were better than one but as Grandma will tell you, too many cooks spoil the broth. In the crucial four days when people were queueing up at NRock branches, the rescue package shuttled backwards and forwards between the FSA (the financial services regulator), Bank of England (our central bank) and HM Treasury (the Government’s money department) and the Chancellor’s fine words came too late on the Monday to give the beast any hope of survival as a business. Somehow, I cannot imagine many of my clients being impressed if I recommend a NRock mortgage to them – they still have their good points like high LTVs, flexible products etc, but if no one likes you anymore……………
Very simply, the job of being a central bank, functions of which include being lender of last resort for banks that get into trouble and regulating the 500 or so UK and foreign banks that operate in the UK is not the same job as regulating the sale of financial products. This fuction which covers pensions, investments and life insurance and regulating financial advisers is a completely different business. The switch was a bit like switching the functions of a dentist to your local doctor and made about as much sense.
London has by no means the biggest financial markets in the world but is still the world’s leading international capital market. Stemming from the early days of empire, it has always been outward looking but it was a economic backwater for a long while. In Queen Elizabeth 1′s time for example, Antwerp was Europe’s leading financial centre and Sir Thomas Gresham, Ambassador to the Netherlands founded the Royal Exchange in London based on what he saw there. As we Brits have a reputation for being honest and repaying our loans, he was able to obtain money and at fine rates too, for QE1′s hard-pressed government when other monarchs in Europe who didn’t bother repaying their debts, found themselves a bit short where credit was concerned. Back in the 21st Century, centres like Dubai have the stated ambition to be the leading financial centre in the world.
During all the dithering, pictures of us calm Brits queueing up like idiots to grab our money, have gone around the world. I have heard of phone calls from Africa for example, to relatives here asking them if they have lost their money. So just one month after the tenth anniversary of Princess Diana’s death when the public emotion at her funeral reminded the world that we had feelings too, we end up looking like a bunch of lemmings.